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January 3, 2002

A New Year. How to make it different from the old year? The year just past is over. And thank you very much that it is finally history. Nevertheless, it is not simply another tired out old year. 

It's the one we would like to forget but won't be able to, for a really long time. It would be better not forget about this year for a really long time. We were all part of history and should count ourselves fortunate to be able to talk about it.

It was a year filled with perturbations of minor, major, and cataclysmic proportions. Though we must try to learn from the past and remain thoughtful about it, now is time to look forward.

Resolutions are in order. These are posed as questions with the resolution coming after the answer.

Question: How did we miss how truly chaotic and unhappy many parts of the rest of the world are? Maybe we just got used to it. Maybe it just didn't really matter, before. Maybe it didn't get covered in the evening news. It appears that we are far more sensitized to trouble in the world. We cannot live in "splendid" isolation any longer.

Resolved: What happens in some godforsaken part of the world matters to us, now. If we ignore something long enough, it doesn't go away. We are painfully more aware of that. Therefore, resolve to pay greater attention to misery and conflict wherever it might be taking place.

No doubt a lesson lurks there that can be applied to markets that we study. Which leads to the next question and resolution.

Question: Why didn't we all see the rapid slowing of commercial real estate markets in the past year? For several years, opinions freely flew about market "spikes," temporary aberrations, "irrational exuberance" and the increases cannot go on forever. We just smugly coasted along until one day, many of those office and industrial markets we hold so dear as bellwethers looked different. How did we miss the change? Did we miss something?

Resolved: Let us look at these economic bubbles that create these unstable market conditions with much more skepticism in the future. And let's pay greater attention to fundamentals that cause market shifts and the means for detecting them.

Question: Why has it taken major destabilizing events in our lives for us beginning to look for deeper meanings?  It is apparent that the vast majority spends far too much time seeking immediate financial rewards - this necessary pursuit easily blinds us to understanding fundamental concepts and how they affect our everyday lives.

Resolved: To spend time looking beyond immediate and short term benefit Then, by actually acting upon the results of our deliberations, positive benefits may result.

Question: Why do we constantly complain about the lack of time and never do anything about it?

Maybe because we might have to focus upon really important things to realize how much of what we do in a day, week, month, or year, is selfish, trivial, useless, or just done out of habit or a false sense of productivity or to rationalize self-aggrandizing behavior?

Resolved: To take the time to organize personal and work lives to regain lost time. And then use the time gained for productive endeavors.

All the usual resolutions must be considered, too. Eat better, sleep more, exercise regularly, get home earlier, spend more time with family and friends, travel, participate in one's community, advance one's profession, work smarter, spend less and save more. These make the list year after year. This year is a time to push those old resolutions aside for some more useful and important ones.

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